Prices seemed to follow a random walk as he observed them.
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Also it can often be recognized that channels can exist within channels.
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This applies also to trend lines.
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Consequently when a trend line of long duration, which has been successfully tested many times, has been violated then an important reversal of trend has likely occurred.
If you are short a security you will buy it in order to close the position.
The changing prices of a security from tick to tick, day to day or whatever time period you are looking at may seem random, but there are ways to smooth out this randomness.