Let say we are going to make a bet on the toss of a coin.
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The opposite is true for the long side.
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If not stopped out by a stop loss, or a trailing stop, exit day positions before the market closes.
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Fundamental analysis concentrates on the forces of supply and demand for a given security.
Remember that trading capital is your business; if it burns there is no insurance.
Taking this idea slightly farther if the markets are random then the history of the price of a stock or commodity has no bearing on the future price.